College Production Is The WR Floor Check
Jason Moore
"Having a ton of production in college absolutely does not mean you're going to be good in the NFL. However, not having a ton of production in college almost assuredly means you're not going to be good in the NFL."
Context
Jason's wide-receiver evaluation rule. The 1,000-yard peak-season threshold is the de facto floor check — if you can't earn targets in college, you almost never figure it out in the NFL. The 2026 class fails this test almost universally beyond the big three (Tate / Tyson / Lemon): KC Concepcion, Omar Cooper Jr., Germie Bernard, Denzel Boston, DeJon Stribling, Malachi Fields, J'Kobi Lane all missed it. Ted Hurst hit 1,004 against weak competition.
Carnell Tate gets a forgiveness pass for sharing targets at Ohio State.
Subject(s)
- WR draft evaluation methodology