Lane Kiffin has a real five-year title path at LSU.
Context
Dan estimates a 15-22% chance that Kiffin wins a title in the next five years, higher than his estimate for Dabo winning another playoff game. The risk is Kiffin's discipline and the difficulty of the modern SEC; the opportunity is LSU's recruiting base, prestige, talent, and Kiffin's demonstrated ability to build a playoff-level team at Ole Miss.