TCU is more trustworthy than North Carolina in Dublin.
Context
Dan is open to North Carolina's changes, including Bill Belichick, Bobby Petrino, and a healthier Billy Edwards Jr., but the Tar Heels must prove too many things at once. They need the new offense to work, the defense to improve, and the whole operation to travel to Ireland for its first game.
TCU has its own translation questions with Jaden Craig and Gordon Sammis, yet Sonny Dykes has more continuity, a stronger recent proof of concept, and a roster Dan trusts to handle the unusual opener. Dan expects the Frogs to win by roughly two scores; Ty also picks TCU but is less confident in the cover.