Returning production gives Eastern Michigan the edge over Sacramento State.
Context
Ty treats the matchup as a tale of two roster timelines. Eastern Michigan brings back 62% of its production, while Sacramento State returns only 21% of its offensive production and has a new coaching situation to integrate.
The Eagles' own weakness is the defense, especially a ground unit that could let Sacramento State stay in the game. Still, Ty trusts veteran familiarity over the Hornets' larger reset and projects Eastern Michigan to win 35-17.