Bet Against Bad Franchises
Jason Moore
"If you want to look for slight edges, bet against stupid franchises… Carson Beck is not going to work. Because he went to the Arizona Cardinals and they will screw it up."
Context
Jason's most actionable rule of thumb — pick consistent winners, fade consistent losers. Cardinals, Browns, Jets are perennial fade targets regardless of talent acquired. He's a Cardinals fan and applies the rule to his own team. Same logic killed the Deshaun Watson bet when he went to Cleveland; same logic discounts KC Concepcion's Browns landing spot despite the talent.
The flip side: even a lottery-ticket QB like Ty Simpson becomes a real bet when he lands with Sean McVay's structure rather than the Cardinals' chaos.
Subject(s)
- Carson Beck (case study)
- Cardinals / Browns / Jets