Texas Tech Red Raiders
Big 12 program. 2025 was a strong portal/spend year — playoff caliber per the show. Brendan Sorsby was their headline transfer-portal QB acquisition (~$6.5M), inherited from Indiana. Reached the playoff in 2025 with Behren Morton at QB after Sorsby's mid-season injury context. Caleb Douglas was a key WR contributor; he was a third-round NFL Draft pick by Miami in 2026.
2026-04-28 news anchor: Sorsby checking into residential gambling-addiction treatment under NCAA investigation.
Current Show Posture
As of 2026-08-24:
Texas Tech has moved from "Big 12 favorite if Sorsby plays" to "roster favorite that has to be re-priced around Will Hammond." The show still does not treat the original Sorsby portal swing as obvious buyer's remorse. It was a rational attempt to buy a scarce playoff-caliber quarterback in a thin market, but the legal, gambling, and league-governance fallout made the setup unsustainable.
The June 18 episode closes the college-football chapter by treating the Sorsby/Texas Tech parting as the least bad ending once the Big 12, outside schools, and Supplemental Draft deadline converged. It also sharpens the program-image read: Texas Tech's softer institutional language was easier to understand than Cody Campbell's more defiant public posture, which gave critics a visible booster-era target.
The June 25 update removes the immediate NFL exit ramp too. With no Supplemental Draft, Sorsby is waiting for 2027, while Texas Tech's football conversation has to return to Hammond's ACL recovery, dual-threat tools, first-team reps, and whether the rest of the roster remains strong enough to hold a Big 12 favorite case.
The playoff prediction episode keeps Texas Tech in the national conversation as a projected Big 12 champion. The path is narrow but legible: if the Red Raiders win the league, a clean resume can compare favorably with a 9-3 SEC team in the expanded field. That makes Will Hammond's health and the rest of the roster's ability to avoid ordinary losses the key follow-up questions.
2026 Playoff Prediction Update
- 2026-08-24: Texas Tech is projected as a Big 12 champion, with a clean league-winning resume capable of beating a 9-3 SEC team for playoff position. 2026-08-24 A Clean Texas Tech Resume Can Beat a 9-3 SEC Team
2026 Preview Snapshot
- 2026 Big 12 Preview Part 1: The Big 12 has more returning quarterback names than the ACC, which makes the top half more interesting and easier to preview. 2026-07-20 Returning Quarterbacks Make The Big Twelve Legible
- 2026 Big 12 Preview Part 1: Texas Tech stepping up gives the Big 12 a recognizable national story and a program people can point to. 2026-07-20 Texas Tech Gives The Big Twelve A Story
- 2026 Big 12 Preview Part 1: Ty puts Texas Tech, BYU, and Houston in the Big 12 top tier because each has a credible conference-title case. 2026-07-20 Ty Top Tier Is Texas Tech BYU And Houston
- 2026 Big 12 Preview Part 2: Texas Tech separated from BYU last year with defensive proof of concept, making the roster additions easier to believe in. 2026-07-21 Texas Tech Defensive Proof Is Already There
- 2026 Big 12 Preview Part 2: Texas Tech is a deserved top dog, but Will Hammond not popping as a full-time QB1 is the path to a more ordinary eight-win season. 2026-07-21 Will Hammond Is The Texas Tech Range Of Outcomes
Running Takes
- 2026-08-24: 2026-08-24 A Clean Texas Tech Resume Can Beat a 9-3 SEC Team — a Big 12 champion's clean resume can beat a 9-3 SEC résumé for a playoff spot
- 2026-04-28: 2026-04-28 Sorsby Gambling Story is the First of Its Kind
- 2026-04-30: 2026-04-30 Sorsby News Cracks the Big 12 Door — Bill: best Big 12 roster despite Sorsby uncertainty
- 2026-05-05: 2026-05-05 Sorsby Was Bad Luck Not Buyers Remorse — show defends Tech's process; vetting will become a cottage industry
- 2026-05-05: 2026-05-05 Houston Is the Cleanest Big 12 Dark Horse — companion: where the Big 12 Sorsby-induced opening goes
- 2026-05-12: 2026-05-12 Houston Texas Tech Is the Big 12 Under Card — Week 3 Houston game is a real Big 12 checkpoint
- 2026-06-02: 2026-06-02 Sorsby Uncertainty Reopens the Big 12 Middle — Tech remains the likely best roster, but the league opens if Sorsby is unavailable
- 2026-06-02: 2026-06-02 Portal Vetting Cannot Eliminate Human Volatility — Tech is the example of a rational portal swing with unavoidable human/eligibility risk
- 2026-06-09: 2026-06-09 Weirdness Still Exists Outside the Power Two — Texas Tech is a live example of non-P2 national relevance and modern booster-era weirdness
- 2026-06-09: 2026-06-09 Gambling Saturation Is a Broadcast Problem — Sorsby makes gambling enforcement a Texas Tech football story
- 2026-06-10: 2026-06-10 Sorsby Makes Texas Tech Playoff Case Plausible — Sark Tank reopens the football bull case if Sorsby remains eligible
- 2026-06-18: 2026-06-18 Sorsby Exit Was The Least Bad Ending — the legal/league calendar made a mutual parting the practical resolution
- 2026-06-18: 2026-06-18 Cody Campbell Made Texas Tech Easier To Villainize — Cody Campbell's public posture became a booster-era image problem
- 2026-06-18: 2026-06-18 Texas Tech Story Moves Back To Will Hammond — Texas Tech's preview read shifts back to Hammond's health and development
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2026-06-25: 2026-06-25 Sorsby NFL Path Got Harder Without Supplemental Draft — the NFL declines to hold a Supplemental Draft, pushing Sorsby toward 2027
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2026-07-20: 2026-07-20 Texas Tech Gives The Big Twelve A Story - preview-season update from the July intake batch.
- 2026-07-21: 2026-07-21 Will Hammond Is The Texas Tech Range Of Outcomes - preview-season update from the July intake batch.
- 2026-07-21: 2026-07-21 Texas Tech Defensive Proof Is Already There - preview-season update from the July intake batch.
- 2026-07-20: 2026-07-20 Returning Quarterbacks Make The Big Twelve Legible - The Big 12 has more returning quarterback names than the ACC, which makes the top half more interesting and easier to preview.
- 2026-07-20: 2026-07-20 Ty Top Tier Is Texas Tech BYU And Houston - Ty puts Texas Tech, BYU, and Houston in the Big 12 top tier because each has a credible conference-title case.
Episode Appearances
- 2026-04-28 Fantasy Footballers Crossover with Jason Moore
- 2026-04-30 Bill Connelly Post-Spring Conference Walk — best Big 12 roster + Sorsby probability adjustment
- 2026-05-05 May Q&A Part 1 — Patreon Q&A: vetting + portal QB supply discussion
- 2026-05-12 The 2026 College Football Calendar Utility — Houston, Arizona State, Arizona, Oklahoma State, Baylor, TCU schedule contexts
- 2026-06-02 June Q&A - Summer Loves, Cignetti vs Saban and Portal Panic — Sorsby eligibility and Big 12 middle-tier volatility
- 2026-06-09 Too Much Noise, Not Enough Weirdness with Richard Johnson — Sorsby injunction breaking news and Texas Tech as non-P2 weirdness example
- 2026-06-10 Sark Tank 3.0 - Investing in Texas Tech, the SEC, USC's Defense and G6 Chaos — Sorsby-led Big 12 title and playoff-win investment pitch
- 2026-06-18 Brendan Sorsby's Exit and Message Board Madness — Sorsby/Texas Tech separation, Cody Campbell posture, fan conflict, and Will Hammond reset
- 2026-06-25 Chris Fallica on College Football Bets, Portal Chaos and World Cup Fever — Supplemental Draft update removes Sorsby's immediate NFL path
- 2026-07-20 Big 12 Preview Part 1 - Power Tiers and Big Storylines - preview-season discussion from the July intake batch.
- 2026-07-21 Big 12 Preview Part 2 - Texas Tech, BYU, Kansas and More Team Previews - preview-season discussion from the July intake batch.
- 2026-08-24 Our 2026 College Football Playoff Predictions — Texas Tech appears in Dan's projected field as Big 12 champion